Dhanbad

Next 7 daysExtreme100%

Fire season: about 26 weeks left · 18.9× the usual for this week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – late March
Record year: 2021776
Trend: +3%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +107%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	479	2
2002	450	0
2003	404	12
2004	443	14
2005	408	24
2006	477	31
2007	414	8
2008	434	11
2009	478	39
2010	531	46
2011	392	30
2012	272	242
2013	303	303
2014	290	290
2015	294	294
2016	346	346
2017	348	348
2018	682	763
2019	428	616
2020	272	577
2021	776	1554
2022	776	1638
2023	664	1380
2024	392	813
2025	657	1492
2026	1985	9740

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 12.3×

Raw data

› 85.2×

usual = 1×

This month: 193
Usual (median): 16
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 85.2× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 12.3×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~56.3

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon29°

Tue26°

Wed25°

Thu25°

Fri25°

Sat24°

Right now

early November

This week183

This week is more active than 100% of past years at this time

Year to date1,985

#1 of 26 yearsNormal: 366

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~56 expected · usual 9.9

Next 3 months

About usual

~165 expected · usual 171

likely 68–372 · usual 38–330

Season

Ends ~10 May
Peak ~1 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid October – early May

Onset: mid October
Peak: early March
End: early May

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

early February – late March
33% of annual activity
mid December – early January
12% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +3%/10Raw: +107%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 20.9× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.33).

Unusual years

5

2015
294
season began 6 weeks late
2019
428
season began 11 weeks late
2023
664
season began 12 weeks late
2024
392
season began 8 weeks late
2026
1,985
4.6× the normal annual activity
peak 8.5× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson

Dhanbad

Next 7 daysExtreme100%

Fire season: about 26 weeks left · 18.9× the usual for this week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – late March
Record year: 2021776
Trend: +3%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +107%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	479	2
2002	450	0
2003	404	12
2004	443	14
2005	408	24
2006	477	31
2007	414	8
2008	434	11
2009	478	39
2010	531	46
2011	392	30
2012	272	242
2013	303	303
2014	290	290
2015	294	294
2016	346	346
2017	348	348
2018	682	763
2019	428	616
2020	272	577
2021	776	1554
2022	776	1638
2023	664	1380
2024	392	813
2025	657	1492
2026	1985	9740

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 12.3×

Raw data

› 85.2×

usual = 1×

This month: 193
Usual (median): 16
Rank: 1 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 85.2× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 12.3×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~56.3

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon29°

Tue26°

Wed25°

Thu25°

Fri25°

Sat24°

Right now

early November

This week183

This week is more active than 100% of past years at this time

Year to date1,985

#1 of 26 yearsNormal: 366

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~56 expected · usual 9.9

Next 3 months

About usual

~165 expected · usual 171

likely 68–372 · usual 38–330

Season

Ends ~10 May
Peak ~1 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid October – early May

Onset: mid October
Peak: early March
End: early May

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

early February – late March
33% of annual activity
mid December – early January
12% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +3%/10Raw: +107%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 20.9× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.33).

Unusual years

5

2015
294
season began 6 weeks late
2019
428
season began 11 weeks late
2023
664
season began 12 weeks late
2024
392
season began 8 weeks late
2026
1,985
4.6× the normal annual activity
peak 8.5× stronger than normal

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson