Deoghar

Next 7 daysExtreme91%

Fire season: about 22 weeks left

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late January – mid April
Record year: 2024134
Trend: 0%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +80%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	40	0
2002	36	0
2003	29	1
2004	25	0
2005	32	1
2006	35	1
2007	20	0
2008	30	1
2009	36	1
2010	36	1
2011	32	1
2012	15	14
2013	25	25
2014	31	31
2015	9	9
2016	36	36
2017	13	13
2018	22	22
2019	21	54
2020	14	22
2021	70	150
2022	16	44
2023	70	132
2024	134	216
2025	86	164
2026	87	332

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 29.0×

usual = 1×

This month: 14
Usual (median): 0.5
Rank: 1 of 26

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~3.0

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon30°

Tue28°

Wed26°

Thu26°

Fri26°

Sat26°

Right now

early November

This week8.5

This week is more active than 100% of past years at this time

Year to date87

#1 of 26 yearsNormal: 29

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~3.0 expected · usual 0.4

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~15 expected · usual 7.6

likely 5.7–63 · usual 0.0–9.1

Season

Ends ~12 April
Peak ~29 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid October – mid April

Onset: mid October
Peak: late March
End: mid April

Critical windows

late January – mid April
68% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: 0%/10Raw: +80%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 104.6× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.36).

Unusual years

9

2015
9
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
season ended 3 weeks early
2017
13
only 0.4× the normal annual activity
season ended 6 weeks early
2019
21
season ended 4 weeks early
2020
14
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
2021
70
2.3× the normal annual activity
peak 4.6× stronger than normal
2023
70
2.3× the normal annual activity
peak 2.7× stronger than normal
2024
134
4.3× the normal annual activity
2025
86
2.8× the normal annual activity
peak 3.5× stronger than normal
2026
87
2.8× the normal annual activity
season ended 3 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson

Deoghar

Next 7 daysExtreme91%

Fire season: about 22 weeks left

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: late January – mid April
Record year: 2024134
Trend: 0%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +80%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	40	0
2002	36	0
2003	29	1
2004	25	0
2005	32	1
2006	35	1
2007	20	0
2008	30	1
2009	36	1
2010	36	1
2011	32	1
2012	15	14
2013	25	25
2014	31	31
2015	9	9
2016	36	36
2017	13	13
2018	22	22
2019	21	54
2020	14	22
2021	70	150
2022	16	44
2023	70	132
2024	134	216
2025	86	164
2026	87	332

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

One of the highest on record

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

› 29.0×

usual = 1×

This month: 14
Usual (median): 0.5
Rank: 1 of 26

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~3.0

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon30°

Tue28°

Wed26°

Thu26°

Fri26°

Sat26°

Right now

early November

This week8.5

This week is more active than 100% of past years at this time

Year to date87

#1 of 26 yearsNormal: 29

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~3.0 expected · usual 0.4

Next 3 months

Busier than usual

~15 expected · usual 7.6

likely 5.7–63 · usual 0.0–9.1

Season

Ends ~12 April
Peak ~29 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid October – mid April

Onset: mid October
Peak: late March
End: mid April

Critical windows

late January – mid April
68% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: 0%/10Raw: +80%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 104.6× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.36).

Unusual years

9

2015
9
only 0.3× the normal annual activity
season ended 3 weeks early
2017
13
only 0.4× the normal annual activity
season ended 6 weeks early
2019
21
season ended 4 weeks early
2020
14
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
2021
70
2.3× the normal annual activity
peak 4.6× stronger than normal
2023
70
2.3× the normal annual activity
peak 2.7× stronger than normal
2024
134
4.3× the normal annual activity
2025
86
2.8× the normal annual activity
peak 3.5× stronger than normal
2026
87
2.8× the normal annual activity
season ended 3 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson