Bokaro

Next 7 daysExtreme94%

Fire season: about 23 weeks left · 3.9× the usual for this week

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early February – late April
Record year: 2021965
Trend: +3%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +105%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
Year	Harmonized	Raw
2001	689	31
2002	447	8
2003	530	46
2004	503	32
2005	470	37
2006	668	64
2007	359	15
2008	389	13
2009	510	39
2010	818	70
2011	535	37
2012	266	247
2013	429	429
2014	341	341
2015	573	573
2016	581	581
2017	715	715
2018	663	777
2019	272	523
2020	319	604
2021	965	1941
2022	303	686
2023	584	1247
2024	441	948
2025	787	1676
2026	614	2282

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Above normal

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

ODLAR

2.1×

Raw data

› 8.0×

usual = 1×

This month: 26
Usual (median): 12
Rank: 5 of 26

Raw satellite data would say 8.0× the usual, because it joins MODIS and VIIRS as they are and VIIRS sees far more small fires. Corrected, it is 2.1×.

Next 7 days

Extreme

Full risk view

Extreme

Expected detections: ~22.7

Fires detected in recent days↑
An active part of the fire season↑
This year is more active than normal↑

Sun28°

Mon29°

Tue26°

Wed25°

Thu25°

Fri25°

Sat24°

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Extreme

~23 expected · usual 8.9

Next 3 months

About usual

~133 expected · usual 123

likely 64–297 · usual 45–226

Season

Ends ~19 April
Peak ~8 March

ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week

How sure is this?

Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

early November – mid April

Onset: early November
Peak: early March
End: mid April

Critical windows

early February – late April
61% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +3%/10Raw: +105%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2013 to 15.9× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 1.00).

Unusual years

3

2015
573
season began 12 weeks late
2021
965
season began 11 weeks late
2023
584
season began 13 weeks late

ReportExport dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson