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RegionsGeorgia

Tbilisi

Next 7 daysLow0%

Quiet now. The season usually starts mid February

Annual mean
0detections
Peak period
mid July – early September
Record year
200328
Trend
−13%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +101%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Tap a week to see its fires on the map.

Total detections per year: ODLAR's corrected record (on the VIIRS Suomi NPP scale) and the raw record (MODIS and VIIRS joined as they are)
YearHarmonizedRaw
2001201
2002140
2003285
2004171
2005161
2006140
2007202
2008142
2009130
2010150
2011244
20122323
20131818
20142121
20151717
20161818
20171414
2018510
20192027
2020919
20211325
20222248
20231324
2024826
20251745
2026811

Tap a week to see the detections behind it.

Lighter: less certain (mostly the MODIS years, before 2012)No observationSatellite outage

A detection is a heat signal seen from space, not burned area or a count of separate fires.

November vs a usual year

Quiet, as usual

Weeks of 26 Oct – 8 Nov, compared with the same weeks of every year since 2001

This month
0.0
Usual (median)
0.0
Rank
13 of 26

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

0%

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

  • Strong wind (7.5 m/s)↑
  • Outside the fire season↓
Sun18°
Mon13°
Tue9°
Wed14°
Thu15°
Fri14°
Sat13°

Right now

early November

This week0.0

This week is more active than 28% of past years at this time

Year to date8
#23 of 26 yearsNormal: 17

What's ahead

From the next days to a year out. The further ahead, the less certain, and the chart says which part is a forecast and which is just the usual year.

Next 7 days

Low

<0.1 expected · usual <0.1

Next 3 months

Quieter than usual

~0.4 expected · usual 2.7

likely 0.0–3.3 · usual 0.0–1.8

Season

  • Starts ~15 February
  • Peak ~23 August
ForecastLikely rangeUsualUsual rangedetections / week
How sure is this?
  • Daily fire weather: the Open-Meteo weather forecast, most reliable for the first 3 days.
  • Next 7 days: tested on 6 past years, the model ranked a week that turned busy above a quiet one 86 times in 100 (the season alone: 72).
  • Next 3 months: the real total fell inside the likely range 76 times in 100 (the usual range alone: 71).
  • Beyond 3 months: the usual year. 8 in 10 past years fell inside the grey band. Weather that far ahead is not known.

Season

mid February – mid September

Onset
mid February
Peak
late August
End
mid September

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

  • mid July – early September

    29% of annual activity

  • mid June – late June

    9% of annual activity

  • early May – mid May

    7% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −13%/10Raw: +101%/10
HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Jump test (Pettitt): the raw record jumps in 2012 to 16.4× its earlier level (p < 0.001). ODLAR's record has none (p 0.20).

Unusual years

7

  • 2015

    17

    season began 10 weeks late

  • 2018

    5

    only 0.3× the normal annual activity

    season ended 7 weeks early

  • 2020

    9

    only 0.5× the normal annual activity

  • 2021

    13

    season began 11 weeks early

    season ended 9 weeks early

  • 2023

    13

    season ended 13 weeks early

  • 2024

    8

    only 0.5× the normal annual activity

    season ended 7 weeks late

  • 2026

    8

    only 0.5× the normal annual activity

    season ended 11 weeks early

ReportExport dataweekly.csvannual.csvhotspots.geojson
ODLARODLAR

One fire history for the Land of Fire.

Built for the NASA Space Apps Challenge 2026.

ExploreRegionsRiskHarmonizationMethodologyDataSimple mode

Data sources

NASA FIRMS, NASA POWER, Open-Meteo, OpenStreetMap, geoBoundaries, OpenFreeMap

ODLAR is not an official warning service. In an emergency call 112.